Saturday, September 24, 2011

If it ain't broke, don't fix it

NO HOLDS BARRED

Raja Petra Kamarudin

As they say, if it works, don’t fix it. Another saying: no need to reinvent the wheel. Yet another saying: lunacy is doing the same thing while expecting different results. Hey, if you want sayings, I have an abundance of them and I can write pages upon pages of sayings.

My favourite sayings, however, are those by Sun Tzu. This is because my wife sent me that book when I was in the Kamunting Detention Centre and it took me only a day -- from 7am to 7pm -- to read the entire book. The next day I read it again, and the third day yet again. (Well, there is nothing really much to do when you are in solitary confinement and reading helps take your mind of sex).

I know, at this point, some impatient readers are going to ask: RPK, what’s your point? Actually nothing. I just wanted to impress you that I know all the sayings and that I read a lot.

Hah! Gotcha!

Okay, let’s get serious. If it works, don’t fix it. And it worked ten years ago. So why change it if it works? Just use what works. And the Hudud thing works each and every time. So why not use it again? Why reinvent the wheel? Let’s do a Sun Tsu and get them good and proper.

Ten years ago, the then Prime Minister, Tun Dr Mahathir Mahathir Mohamad, goaded and challenged PAS to implement Hudud in Terengganu. And PAS took the bait, hook, line and sinker. And that sunk the opposition coalition, Barisan Alternatif, faster than the Titanic.

What they probably forgot was that ten years earlier, PAS tried to implement Hudud in Kelantan. So they passed the law in the Kelantan State Assembly. But then laws can’t be passed unless approved by Parliament. But PAS did not have a two-thirds majority in Parliament. In fact, it did not even have a one-third majority in Parliament.

So the Barisan Nasional-dominated Parliament blocked it and the Kelantan State Government could not implement Hudud in the state. That was the end of the matter. Barisan Nasional shot it down even as it was still taxiing and before it could take off like what the Japanese did to the Americans in Pearl Harbour.

So the Hudud thing in Kelantan was a non-starter. I would even go so far as to say it was a no-brainer. Kelantan did not get its Hudud and the opposition was put to sleep. As they say: you release the bird in the hand and fail to catch the bird in the bush. And don’t they also say that a bird in the hand is worth TWO in the bush?

Ten years on, they did the same thing in Terengganu. And, again, they lost the bird in the hand and failed to catch the bird in the bush. And, two years later, the opposition paid the price, a very heavy price, when it got massacred and Barisan Nasional performed its best ever in Malaysian election history.

That was what happened in Terengganu ten years ago and in Kelantan ten years before that.

Now, ten years after that very bitter lesson, which the opposition still does not seem to have learned from, we are seeing history being repeated. Again, PAS is being goaded and challenged and, again, they are taking the bait and swallowing it hook, line and sinker. Again, Malaysia is embroiled in ‘The Great Hudud Debate’.

Do you think this Hudud controversy is about religion? If so, why not Pakatan Rakyat table a motion in the next session of Parliament to approve the Terengganu State Hudud laws passed by the Terengganu State Assembly ten years ago and the Kelantan State Hudud laws passed by the Kelantan State Assembly ten years before that?

Yes, let’s call their bluff. Let’s play poker. I just love a good poker bluff. I don’t play poker (in fact, I don’t gamble at all) but I just love a good poker bluff. Let’s take the challenge and table a motion in Parliament to approve the Kelantan and Terengganu State Hudud laws. Then let’s see what happens.

Will Umno vote in favour of those laws? If they do, then the other 13 members of Barisan Nasional will leave the ruling coalition and Umno will be left all alone with only one-third of the seats in Parliament. Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak will no longer have the majority in Parliament and will have to resign. A new Prime Minister -- not from Umno -- will have to take over. Barisan Nasional will be finished.

You want to play, let’s play. Then let’s see who wins.

Come on, how many seats does Umno have? Add that to the number of seats PAS has and how many will that come to in total? How many altogether? 100? 100 out of 222 comes to how many percent? Two-thirds? Or less than half?

You think Umno and PAS combined can form the federal government? 100 seats mana cukup? Throw in the ‘independent’ ex-PKR MPs also tak cukup. Still can’t get the 112 seats they need to form the federal government.

And you think ALL the 100 Umno and PAS MPs are going to support Hudud? Half the 100 MPs will walk off, take sick leave, resign, or whatever. Many will even openly vote against Hudud. Maybe you can get 50 or 60 MPs at the most voting in support of Hudud. 50 or 60 out of 222, that’s all.

This is not about religion. If it were about religion then all these people would not be so corrupted. Isn’t corruption haram? It is about politics. It is about using the old and proven formula of raising the Hudud issue to get PAS and DAP to fight and to see the opposition coalition break up like it did ten years ago.

The question now is: are PAS and DAP going to swallow the bait, hook, line and sinker? If they are then maybe they are not matured enough and are not ready yet to form the next federal government. Maybe we should allow Barisan Nasional to continue running the country until the opposition matures and not get trapped so easily.

When I say ‘bodoh macam lembu’, you get angry and say that I am arrogant. But if you really bodoh macam lembu what else can I say?

Let me close with another saying. When you make one mistake, that is forgivable. When you make the same mistake twice, that is stupidity. But if you make the same mistake three times in the row, then you don’t deserve to live. You should be shot dead. And let me be the one to pull the trigger. It will be my pleasure.

Friday, September 23, 2011

WIKILEAKS: MALAYSIA'S MOST PROMINENT THINK TANKS

1. (C) Summary: Malaysia's most prominent think tanks all have historical ties to and receive substantial funding and material support from the Government of Malaysia. The Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS), the Malaysian Institute for Economic Research (MIER), and the Asian Strategic and Leadership Institute (ASLI) represent Malaysia's most prominent think tanks.

The Penang state government maintains a think tank that focuses on local policy issues. Although they all comprise well-educated and politically connected academicians and professional researchers, true independence is often lacking. Think tanks often play an active role in developing and advancing domestic policies and agendas, and by providing important input into the annual government budget process. The government's ultimate control of the purse strings and limitations on public discourse concerning issues of race relations, government transparency and religion are the dominant factors in limiting the over all scope of work. This cable responds to RFI in Ref D (C-AL7-00170). End Summary.
2. (SBU) WHAT ARE THE THREE TO FIVE MOST PROMINENT HOME-GROWN THINK TANKS IN MALAYSIA. WHAT ARE THE SOURCES OF FUNDING FOR THESE THINK TANKS?

A. (SBU) Institute of Strategic and International Studies (ISIS), established in 1983, is reputed to be the first Malaysian think tank and was the brainchild of former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad. Although the initial funding to establish the think tank came from the government, ISIS has evolved into an independent and self-sustaining entity through returns from its investments. The GOM no longer provides direct support for ISIS' operational costs, but the institute continues to benefit from its use of a substantial government-owned office and meeting facility.

ISIS continues to receive project-based funding on an ad hoc basis from the government for events and conferences it hosts. ISIS Chairman and CEO, Jawhar Hassan, is closely associated with the current political leadership and is the Chairman of the New Straits Times Press, owned by the dominant United Malays National Organization (UMNO). Jawhar has lamented to Embassy officers that the ISIS faces financial difficulties. ISIS also acts as the Malaysian representative to the Network of East Asian Think tanks (NEAT); a member of the secretariat for the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia Pacific (CSCAP); and annually hosts the Asia Pacific Roundtable and East Asia Congress.

B. (SBU) Malaysian Institute for Economic Research (MIER) is a non-profit, semi-private think tank established in 1985 devoted to economic, financial and business research. The Institute was first mooted by the Prime Minister's Economic Panel during Mahathir's administration and later promoted by the Council of Malaysian Invisible Trade (COMIT).

MIER is also a consultant to national oil company PETRONAS and is located at a premise owned by the company. MIER's income is derived from economic research projects commissioned by clients in both the private and public sectors and from overseas. The Japanese International Cooperation Agency (JICA) is one of MIER's main clients and the Institute provides capacity building training courses for JICA-sponsored invitees from developing countries such as Laos, East Timor, Burma, and Afghanistan.

The Institute's Executive Director is Professor Emeritus Dr. Mohamed Ariff, a prominent economist and economic advisor to several banks and to the government on an ad hoc basis. However, the Institute remains quite independent and has at times crossed swords with the government on various economic policies, while remaining a vital policy resource for PETRONAS. In contrast to ISIS, which maintains a relatively large staff of scholars, MIER has a thin bench both in terms of number and quality. Particularly since the departure of Deputy Director Kevin Chew in fall 2006, MIER has no scholars with public stature other than Dr. Ariff.

C. (SBU) Asian Strategic and Leadership Institute (ASLI) was established in 1993 through funding from the Sunway Group of Companies, a private property development company whose Chairman and CEO Dr. Jeffrey Cheah is a close associate of former PM Mahathir. Mirzan Mahathir, the eldest son of the former prime minister, has served as ASLI's president since its inception.

Although ASLI portrays itself as an independent think tank, it is located in a government-owned building and gets funding from the government for providing training for civil servants. The think tank's Chief Executive Officer Michael Yeoh is also the Executive Director of the Sedar Institute, a private think tank funded by ruling Barisan Nasional component Parti Gerakan Rakyat Malaysia (Gerakan). Yeoh also serves as a Commissioner on the Malaysian Human Rights Commission (SUHAKAM).

D. (SBU) The Penang state government maintains its own think tank, the Socioeconomic and Environmental Research Institute (SERI), which provides policy input on local policy issues. As Penang is at the leading edge in terms of economic and social development in Malaysia, the issues SERI tackles sometimes provide a signal of future national developments (e.g., a rising consciousness about the need to address urban environmental issues created by extensive economic development in a confined space).

SERI works closely with academics at the University Sains Malaysia (USM) in Penang. Its policy agenda is largely set by the state government, although it has some latitude to pursue independent interests. Executive Director Dr. Yee Lai Wan has been on the job less than a year and has launched a reorganization process. It is not clear as yet what this will mean for the institute.

3. (SBU) WHAT ROLE DO THE THINK TANKS PLAY IN POLICY DEBATES AND POLICY FORMATION? POSSIBLE EXAMPLES OF IMPACT WOULD INCLUDE ITS POLITICAL PATRONS OR CONNECTIONS, THE STATURE OF ITS LEADERSHIP, ITS CONTRIBUTION TO DRAFTING LEGISLATION, THE APPOINTMENT OF ITS STAFF TO GOVERNMENT COMMITTEES, OR THE EXTENT TO WHICH ITS CONFERENCES ARE ATTENDED AND BY WHOM. CONVERSELY, WHAT SERVICES DOES THE GOVERNMENT LOOK TO THINK TANKS TO PROVIDE AND WHEN, IN THE POLICY PROCESS?

A. (SBU) The three prominent think tanks, when engaged by the government, make policy recommendations on national and international economic issues; defense, security and foreign policy issues; strategies on nation building and other issues such as on the environment and so forth. The government generally expects the think tanks to provide recommendations during the policy formulation stage. For instance, MIER was involved in formulating the Third Industrial Master Plan (IMP) for the Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI).

According to one official with MIER, MITI was not thrilled with some of the recommendations made by MIER. When the final IMP was presented MIER noticed that some of their recommendations were omitted from the plan. During the Mahathir era, ISIS was given a major project to formulate strategies on nation building and on national unity. In early 2006, ISIS organized workshops and brainstorming sessions between its scholars, other academics and government officials to develop elements of the Ninth Malaysia plan. ISIS scholars continue to provide input to the government on socioeconomic issues, such as immigration policy.

B. (SBU) ISIS formulated the "Vision 2020" strategy in 1993 that seeks to transform Malaysia into a developed nation with a united Malaysian race by the year 2020. The government used ISIS' recommendations for its 1995 general election manifesto and the ruling coalition (BN) won one of its largest majorities in Parliament. The "Vision 2020" theme remains a prominent element of the Ninth Malaysia Plan.

C. (SBU) With its close ties to government, ASLI often focuses its efforts on government priorities and missions. ASLI provides yearly input into the GOM budget consultation process. For the 2007 budget, ASLI presented a list of twelve recommendations for consideration in developing and implementing national budget priorities which would encourage national development and racial diversity in the work place. ASLI also hosts yearly conferences aimed at advancing national priorities as determined by the Malaysian cabinet.

Already in 2007, ASLI has hosted or planned and organized conferences and fora on advancing the developmental goals of the Organization of Islamic Conference (OIC) and promoting Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) agendas such as advancing

South-South trade. ASLI has adopted PM Abdullah's focus on transparency in government and created focus papers and hosted a variety of luncheons and speakers promoting world ethics and government transparency.

4. (SBU) WHAT ROLE DO THINK TANKS PLAY IN POLICY ADVOCACY AND PROMOTING PUBLIC AWARENESS OF POLICY? POSSIBLE AREAS OF INQUIRY INCLUDE THE THINK TANK'S REPUTATION AMONG THE PUBLIC, THE EXTENT OF ITS MEDIA RECOGNITION OR COVERAGE, THE EXTENT IT NETWORKS WITH NGOS OR OTHER ELEMENTS OF CIVIL SOCIETY, ITS CONTRACTUAL WORK WITH THE BUSINESS COMMUNITY, THE NATURE AND SIZE OF ITS MEMBERSHIP, TRAINING OPPORTUNITIES IT OFFERS, OR HOW WELL ITS PUBLICATIONS SELL.

A. (SBU) In terms of policy advocacy and promoting public awareness of policies, Malaysia's prominent think tanks only play a role if a particular policy has a major impact on the general populace. For instance, every year the major think tanks conduct seminars and forums prior and after the tabling of the national budget in Parliament. The think tanks discuss issues that they believe the public would want the government to include in the national budget. After the budget is tabled in Parliament, these think tanks focus on the impact of the budget on the people and businesses.

Although the prominent think tanks mentioned are highly reputed, they primarily cater to and interact with elites, such as officials, professionals, researchers, and academics. Although they address issues of public concern, they do not focus on public forums. The think tank publications, which are readily available, are also targeted to an academic audience.

Think tanks attract press coverage when their events feature a senior government figure or they raise issues of keen public interest. For instance, the press gave wide coverage when MIER Executive Director Prof. Ariff stated at a forum in February that it was an opportune time for the government to call for a snap election as the economy was doing well. The controversy over ASLI's findings on bumiputra (ethnic Malay/indiginous peoples) corporate equity holdings also received wide coverage both in print and electronic media (see refs A and B).

B. (SBU) Although, ISIS, ASLI and MIER focus on certain niche groups, there are other politically connected smaller think tanks such as the Social Strategic Foundation (funded by the Malaysian Indian Congress, MIC), Sedar Institute (funded by Gerakan) and Insap (funded by the Malaysian Chinese Association, MCA) that cater to the needs of the their respective political party members. These think tanks tend to focus on micro-issues such as employment, race relations, and education opportunities. They also highlight training and employment opportunities for both party members and the public, especially in the private and public sectors.

In some instances, these smaller think tanks cooperate with foreign foundations such as the Konrad Adenaur and Friedrich Naumann Stiftung Foundations from Germany to fund their forums and activities. In one such example, the Gerakan think tank Sedar co-hosted a race relations forum in 2006 with the Konrad Adenaur foundation.

C. (SBU) The Malaysian Strategic and Research Center (MSRC) is another local think tank that once shared excellent relations with local civil society groups. As discussed more fully in ref C, MSRC was an influential political and defense based research organization that benefited extensively from its close ties with the Deputy Prime Minister, Najib Tun Razak.

MSRC's conferences and workshops enjoyed support from many foreign missions, including the United States. However, in late 2006 after MSRC's Executive Director Abdul Razak Abdullah Baginda was charged with abetting the murder of a Mongolian national, the think tank quickly faded from importance and influence. No other think tanks have yet emerged with such extensive connections to civil society and international influence.

D. (SBU) SERI does not have a direct influence on the federal level, but some of its ideas are picked up and broadcast by others. For example, SERI work on waste disposal has influenced NGOs in other parts of Malaysia, who in turn have sought to influence federal and other state government policies on waste disposal.

5. (SBU) WHAT EXTENT OF AUTONOMY DO THINK TANKS HAVE FROM THE GOVERNMENT? AREAS TO EXPLORE INCLUDE THE REVOLVING DOOR PHENOMENON, SOURCES OF FUNDING, OR THE EXTENT OF POLICY CONGRUENCE. EXAMPLES OF WHEN THINK TANKS HAVE CRITICIZED POLICY WOULD BE PARTICULARLY HELPFUL.

(SBU) Generally speaking, Malaysia's think tanks enjoy a wide degree of autonomy but remain driven by their sources of funding. Think tanks may find themselves confined by the racial and social biases that focus and compartmentalize many elements of Malaysian society. For instance, the think tanks were asked for input in the formulation of Malaysia's Five Years development plans the latest being the 9th Malaysian Plan (2006 - 2010).

ASLI's input included a report on "Corporate Equity Distribution: Past Trends and Future Policy", part of a larger report prepared for submission to the government. ASLI's Centre for Public Policy Studies (CPPS), headed by Dr Lim Teck Ghee, had invited a multi-ethnic group of academics to review urgent issues, including the alleviation of poverty, the reformation of the civil service and tertiary institutions, and the plight of the nation's highly marginalized communities, in particular the Orang Asli.

Although there was a wide array of recommendations in the ASLI's report, the government focused only on the section on corporate ownership of bumiputras, which ASLI estimated to be 45%, far higher than the government's figure of 18%. The GOM's lower estimate justified the continued existence of the New Economic Policy, an affirmative action policy in favor of the majority bumiputra community. In response, the government dismissed the report outright.

The Minister of Agriculture and UMNO Vice President, Muhyiddin Yassin, called the report 'rubbish' and like other Malay officials refused to address the reports findings and characterized it solely as an attempt to incite racial tension. ASLI, realizing that it would not be able to take on the government, distanced itself from its own report, leading to the resignation of Dr. Lim from the think tank. (See ref A and B for a complete discussion on GOM reactions to the ASLI report). Notwithstanding the opportunistic political attacks against ASLI, the GOM has not taken any serious action against any think tanks.

6. (SBU) WHAT ARE THE PROCEDURES FOR REGISTERING A THINK TANK? WHAT LAWS APPLY TO THINK TANK ACTIVITIES? WHAT RECOURSE DOES A GOVERNMENT AND/OR MILITARY HAVE TO ADDRESS ERRANT BEHAVIOR BY THINK TANKS?

(SBU) Under Malaysian law, think tanks can register either under the Societies Act or the Company Act. In practice, nearly all think tanks opt for the Company Act, as there are fewer restrictions compared to the Societies Act, particularly in the area of fund raising. Entities generally avoid registration under the Societies Act where the Registrar of Societies has stronger enforcement powers to limit topics of discussion and discourse.

Although the Government has not yet taken action against any think tank, the Registrar of Companies could be used as a punishing agent against errant organizations by auditing the financial records or by challenging the required registrations, taxes and disclosure requirements of registered companies. Perhaps more immediate to the company's continued existence, the government could cancel contracts for training and consultancy work or, as in the case of ASLI, simply reject the findings or recommendations from the "errant" organization.

7. (C/NF) WHAT TOOLS DOES THE GOVERNMENT HAVE TO EMPLOY TO MONITOR OR LIMIT THINK TANK ACTIVITIES? HOW DOES THE NATURE OF THE POLITICAL SYSTEM AFFECT A THINK TANK'S FREEDOM TO MANEUVER? EXAMPLES OF WHEN THINK TANKS WENT AWRY OF THE GOVERNMENT WOULD BE PARTICULARLY USEFUL.

(C/NF) The government's most effective tool is the power of the purse. Of the three major think tanks discussed, none are sufficiently self sustaining that they could survive without government assistance or contracts. Notwithstanding this limitation, the think tanks are generally staffed with highly educated, forward thinking professionals. The best of them can and do take public stands in opposition to government policy (e.g., Dr. Ariff called for freeing the ringgit from its peg to the dollar for several years prior to Bank Negara's decision to liberalize its currency policy).

The government recognizes the value of independent thinkers, and while political change is sometimes glacially slow in Malaysia, prominent think tanks play an active role in advancing new ideas and research. However, Malaysian think tanks, like many other facets of Malaysian society, seem to be limited by government-enforced restraints on open discussions regarding race relations, religion, and government transparency. Three of the nation's lingering social issues remain off the table for public discussion, even among think tanks. ASLI's venture into the discussion of bumiputra equity (see para 5 above), though a minor part of their overall report, epitomized the acceptable limits of research and reporting.

LAFLEUR (March 2007)

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Rewriting History?

KARPAL DAN MAT SABU
SEP03
2011 95 COMMENTS WRITTEN BY CHEDET
1. Akhbar melaporkan sesuatu yang pelik.
2. Sementara Mat Sabu memuji pengganas komunis, Karpal Singh pula mencuit perasaan Mat Sabu dan mempertahankan peranan yang dimainkan oleh anggota polis dan pasukan keselamatan Malaysia yang lain dalam menyelamatkan negara daripada pengganas.

3. Sungguh aneh sikap Karpal. Tetapi sebenarnya Karpal sebagai ahli politik amat cekap dan sedar akan kemarahan anggota keselamatan terhadap kenyataan Mat Sabu yang boleh mengurangkan sokongan mereka kepada Pakatan.


4. Sebab itu ia dengan pantas membuat kenyataan untuk mengurangkan kemarahan terhadap Mat Sabu dan seterusnya menyelamat Pakatan sedikit sebanyak.
5. Sesungguhnya di masa lampau terdapat satu usaha dikalangan pemimpin Pas untuk mempertahankan pengganas komunis. Sebabnya ialah kerana ingin mengurangkan rasa terhutang budi kepada pemimpin Umno dahulu yang telah dapat membatal rancangan Malayan Union British, menewaskan pengganas komunis dan memerdekakan negara.

6. Terdapat dikalangan murid sekolah yang diajar oleh entah siapa supaya berkata Tunku Abdul Rahman adalah pemimpin negara yang terburuk sekali.

7. Anwar Ibrahim pula pernah berjanji apabila sahaja ia menjadi Perdana Menteri ia akan benarkan Chin Peng kembali semula ke Malaysia.

8. Pas sekarang sudah gugur matlamat perjuangannya untuk menjadikan Malaysia negara Islam. Juga digugur ialah hasrat Pas untuk melaksanakan hukum hudud. Bersama dengan pembersihan pengganas komunis, Pas berharap kepercayaan DAP kepadanya akan memberi kemenangan kepada Pas apabila melawan Umno dalam PRU 13.

9. Aliran ini tidak sihat bagi Pakatan. Sedikit sebanyak sokongan rakyat, terutama dikalangan anggota pasukan keselamatan dan keluarga mereka akan terhakis. Saya percaya pemimpin yang lebih berpengalaman diantara mereka seperti Karpal Singh akan cuba mengurangkan kelancaran ke arah pembersihan komunis Malaysia untuk tidak terlalu memburukkan persepsi rakyat, khususnya mereka yang telah berkorban untuk menyelamatkan negara ini.

10. Walau apapun pendirian pemimpin Pas tidak akan menjejas kesetiaan pengikut mereka kerana fanatisme mereka tetapi janganlah pula orang lain juga membutakan mata akan kesanggupan Pas dan sudah tentu PKR, untuk menidakkan apa sahaja sumbangan pemimpin UMNO dahulu demi mendapat sokongan DAP dan orang Cina khususnya.

11. Pas sekarang tidak lagi Pas Ustaz Zulkifli, Burhanuddin Al-Helmi, Asri Muda. Pas sekarang sanggup membelakangkan Islam pun kerana gila kuasa dan Putrajaya.